global

Massive decrease in the value of lumber exports

Article by Günther Jauk (translated by Eva Guzely) | 28.12.2023 - 09:29

From January to September, the 20 biggest global softwood lumber trade flows totaled nearly 48 million m³ or US-$11.5 billion. While trade volumes fell by just 4% compared to the same period of last year, the value of the trade volumes decreased by more than 42%. When dividing the value by the total trade volume, the result is a price which fell by US-$399 to US-$239/m³.

The biggest global flow of softwood lumber is the one from Canada to the US with 21.1 million m³ or US-$ 5.53 billion. Here, a loss in volume of 9% and a loss in value of 44% were recorded.
Russia, on the other hand, exported slightly more softwood lumber (+1%; 9.02 million m³) to China, while the value of these shipments fell by 13% to US-$1.79 billion. A more marked increase can be observed in exports from Sweden to Great Britain (17%; 2.13 million m³) but here, too, the value of exports decreased by 19% to US-$620 million.

The fourth biggest trade flow was the one from Austria to Italy (1.9 million m³; -11%), followed by German shipments to the US (1.84 million m³; -7%). These two trade flows also lost significantly in value, at US-$620 million (-30%) and US-$502 million (-29%) respectively. Equally as remarkable are exports from Russia to Kazakhstan, which have grown by 81% to over 600,000 m³, as well as the increase in volumes shipped from Canada (1.12 million m³; +28%) and Belarus (664,000 m³; 57%) to China.

The 20 biggest global softwood lumber trade flows | Q1-Q3 2023
Trade flows incl. planed timber in 1,000 m³ and US-$1,000
N. Exporter Importer Jan – Sep in 1,000 m³ Diff. in % Jan – Sep in US-$1,000 Diff. in %
2022 2023 2022 2023
1 Canada USA 23,248 21,114 –9 9,881,737 5,534,119 –44
2 Russia China 8,938 9,019 1 2,061,288 1,792,057 –13
3 Sweden Great Britain 1,823 2,134 17 766,125 620,057 –19
4 Austria Italy 2,143 1,899 –11 717,027 502,503 –30
5 Germany USA 1,972 1,835 –7 723,997 512,073 –29
6 Russia Uzbekistan 1,721 1,600 –7 n/s n/s n/s
7 Canada China 873 1,120 28 225,253 203,381 –10
8 Sweden Egypt 809 914 13 186,161 153,038 –18
9 Sweden USA 906 840 –7 402,952 243,871 –39
10 USA Mexico 743 819 10 2,255,390 201,565 –91
11 Sweden Netherlands 738 801 8 297,299 221,635 –25
12 Finland Egypt 842 777 –8 191,391 122,243 –36
13 Latvia Great Britain 963 666 –31 415,347 215,689 –48
14 Belarus China 421 664 57 96,416 120,053 25
15 Canada Japan 892 636 –29 695,656 291,345 –58
16 Russia Kazakhstan 347 629 81 33,552 33,654 0.3
17 Sweden Denmark 608 615 1 235,764 163,370 –31
18 Sweden Germany 576 603 5 220,032 166,688 –24
19 Germany France 642 602 –6 260,438 191,038 –27
20 Germany Austria 732 600 –18 254,747 166,402 –35